Dolphins vs Bills Props – Best Team and Player Prop Bets

Buffalo Bills offensive coordinator Brian Daboll with quarterback Josh Allen

FILE – In this Oct. 20, 2019, file photo, Buffalo Bills offensive coordinator Brian Daboll, left, encourages quarterback Josh Allen as he warms up before an NFL football game Miami Dolphins, Sunday, Oct. 20, 2019, in Orchard Park, N.Y. Allen and Daboll are overseeing an offensive renaissance in Buffalo in which the suddenly pass-happy Bills are among the NFL’s most explosive teams three weeks into the season. (AP Photo/Adrian Kraus, File)
  • The 10-5 Miami Dolphins face the 12-3 Buffalo Bills in an NFL game slated for Saturday
  • Current record: 23-23, +1.05 units won
  • The best prop wagers to play out of this tilt are listed below

On the surface, it might seem like the Miami Dolphins have much more to play for on Sunday than the Buffalo Bills.

The 10-5 Dolphins require a win to lock up an AFC Wild Card playoff position. The 12-3 Bills already have clinched the AFC East title.

However, with a win Buffalo is assured of the #2 seed in the AFC. That would mean at least two home playoff games, as well as avoiding a showdown with the defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs until the AFC Championship Game.

Bills head coach Sean McDermott is assuring everyone that he’ll be playing his starters in order to get the victory. That’s vital information entering Week 17 play when some playoff teams have already indicated that they’ll rest key starters.

The Bills are 3-point home favorites for the game with a 1pm EST kickoff. Check out our updated injury reports, as well as other betting options. Let’s start with the lines for player props.

Dolphins vs Bills Props

Quarterback Completions Passing Yards Passing TDs
Tua Tagovailoa (Mia) 24.5 (Ov -143 | Un +115) 195.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 1.5 (Ov +130 / Un -155)
Josh Allen (Buf) N/A N/A N/A
Running Backs Rush Attempts Rush Yards Receiving and Rush Yards
Myles Gaskin (Mia) 15.5 (Ov +112 | Un -139) 80.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 110.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Devin Singletary (Buf) 10.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 50.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 65.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Zack Moss (Buf) 13.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 50.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 65.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Wide Receivers + Tight Ends Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Mike Gesicki (Mia) 4.5 (Ov -125 / Un +100) 49.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 15.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
DeVante Parker (Mia) 4.5 (Ov -150 / Un +130) 55.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 21.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Gabriel Davis (Buf) 3.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 45.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 17.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)

Odds as of January 2

Prop #1: Bills Will Hold Tua In Check

Buffalo is the NFL’s #8-ranked pass defense. The Bills have held opponents to 222.8 yards per game through the air.

The past two weeks, Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa was held to 145 yards passing by the New England Patriots (#7 NFL pass defense) and to 94 yards by the Las Vegas Raiders (#25 NFL pass defense).

On top of that, the rookie Miami QB is nursing a banged up left thumb. He’s a southpaw, so that damaged digit could impact his grip and ability to throw the football.

Tagovailoa has passed for more than 195.5 yards just three times in nine games. The Buffalo defense will make it three for 10.

Pick: Tua Tagovailoa under 195.5 passing yards (-112), 1 unit.

Prop #2: It Will Be Time For Davis To Shine

Cole Beasley (leg) is out for the Bills. Stefon Diggs is nursing a sore foot and his playing time figures to be limited. John Brown, just back in action after a stint on IR from an ankle injury.

Sunday is going to be Gabriel Davis day in Buffalo. The rookie wideout has caught 33 passes for 492 yards and six touchdowns.

He’s gone over 3.5 receptions in only three games, but he should do that for fun on Sunday.

Pick: Gabriel Davis over 3.5 receptions (-112), 1 unit.

Dolphins vs Bills Touchdown Props

Player Odds To Score First TD Odds To Score Any TD
Myles Gaskin (Mia) +700 +115
Stefon Diggs (Buf) +800 +105
Jake Allen (Buf) +900 +200
Zack Moss (Buf) +1000 +175
Devin Singletary (Buf) +1100 +200
Gabriel Davis (Buf) +1300 +240
Mike Gesicki (Mia) +1300 +225
DeVante Parker (Mia) +1300 +225
Lynn Bowden Jr (Mia) +1500 +275
John Brown (Buf) +1600 +300
Isaiah McKenzie (Buf) +1600 +300
Salvon Ahmed (Mia) +2000 +375
Dawson Knox (Buf) +1800 +350
Tua Tagovailoa (Mia) +2200 +450
Isaiah Ford (Mia) +2500 +500
Mack Hollins (Mia) +3000 +600

Who Are the Best Bets To Score a Touchdown?

The Bills have found the end zone first in four of their past six games. Tight end Dawson Knox has caught three TD passes over the past five games. Two of them were the first TDs of the game.

Running back Myles Gaskin is holding the hot hand for the Dolphins of late in terms of breaking the plane. He’s scored all six of his TDs this season over Miami’s past five games.

Gaskin is proven as verstaile as he is productive when it comes to finding paydirt. He’s run for two TDs, and caught passes to score the other four times.

  • Dawson Knox first TD scorer +1800, 1 unit
  • Myles Gaskin anytime TD scorer +115, 1 unit.

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