How do you determine odds on an unknown event?

Determining likelihood of an event coming to pass is the hardest part of odds making. You make your best educated guess and then present the odds of it happening.

Sounds like he has some motivation. We can start with 1:1. Is he fat? -10%. Does he not have the educational acumen to get into college? +10%. Does he come from a military family? +20%? Is he a druggie or have a record? -20%. Etc, etc.

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