- Iowa State is a 5.5-point favorite over Oregon in the Fiesta Bowl on Saturday at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ariz., with the over/under set at 57.5 points
- Iowa State’s Breece Hall is second in the nation with 1,436 rushing yards
- A look at the top player prop bets for the Fiesta Bowl can be found below
The starting quarterbacks will be back in their home area when Iowa State plays Oregon in the Fiesta Bowl at 4 p.m. ET Saturday at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ariz.
Iowa State’s Brook Purdy and Oregon’s Tyler Shough are both from Phoenix, played against each other in high school and share the same quarterback coach.
Purdy has thrown for 2,597 yards and 18 touchdowns in 11 games for #10 Iowa State (8-3). Shough has 1,480 yards passing and 13 TDs in six games for #25 Oregon (4-2) which won the Pac-12 championship.
Iowa State is a 5.5-point favorite and the over/under is 57.5 points.
Fiesta Bowl Iowa State vs Oregon Player Props
|Passer||Completions||Passing Yards||Passing TDs|
|Brock Purdy (Iowa State)||20.5 (O -110 | U -110)||244.5 (O -130 | U +106)||1.5 (O -110 | U -110)|
|Tyler Shough (Oregon)||15.5 (O -110 | U -110)||230.5 (O -110) | U -110)||1.5 (O -144 | U +118)|
|Rusher||Rushing Attempts||Rushing Yards||Rushing + Receiving Yards|
|Breece Hall (Iowa State)||N/A||115.5 (O -110 | U -110)||N/A|
|Brock Purdy (Iowa State)||N/A||35.5 (O -110) | U -110)||N/A|
|Travis Dye (Oregon)||N/A||54.5 (O -110) | U -110)||N/A|
|Tyler Shough (Oregon)||N/A||32.5 (O -110) | U -110)||N/A|
|Receiver||Receptions||Receiving Yards||Longest Reception|
|Xavier Hutchinson (Iowa State)||6.5 (O +100 | U -122)||85.5 (O -110 | U -110)||N/A|
|Charlie Kolar (Iowa State)||3.5 (O +100 | U -122)||45.5 (O -110 | U -110)||N/A|
|Jaylon Redd (Oregon)||3.5 (O +112 | U -140)||29.5 (O -110 | U -110)||N/A|
Odds taken Jan. 2 from FanDuel
Hall Hard to Haul Down
Iowa State running back Breece Hall played a major role in Iowa State winning its first-ever Big 12 regular-season title before falling to Oklahoma in the conference championship game.
Hall’s 1,436 rushing yards are second in the nation. The sophomore is averaging 5.9 yards on his 245 carries.
Hall has also scored 21 touchdowns, 19 rushing and two passing. He has had a TD in all 11 games this season.
In the first eight games, Hall exceeded 100 yards rushing in each and had at least 135 yards seven times.
Breece Hall’s insane 2020 campaign continues
— PFF College (@PFF_College) December 5, 2020
However, while still strong, Hall’s production has waned a bit late in the season. He has been held under 100 yards in each of the last three games – 91 against Texas, 97 versus West Virginia and 79 against Oklahoma.
Oregon has a solid run defense. The Ducks are allowing 159.8 yards a game on the ground, which is 56th in the FBS, and 4.2 yards a carry, which is 57th.
It is hard to envision Oregon completely shutting Hall down, but he will likely have to work for his yards against the Ducks.
Pick: Breece Hall under 115.5 yards rushing (-110, 1 unit)
Shough’s Numbers Decreasing
Shough has done a capable job of replacing Justin Herbert at quarterback for Oregon. Herbert, of course, has had a fine season with the Los Angeles Chargers and will likely be named the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year.
In six games, Shough has 1,480 yards passing and 13 touchdowns. He also has a 62.7 completion percentage and been intercepted five times.
Oregon (+3) jumps ahead 2-scores on #15 USC. Tyler Shough now has 3 passing TDs in the half. ?
Live odds: ORE -320 (-7.5) USC +240#Pac12FCG #GoDucks pic.twitter.com/Yg1J4ZmLQS
— SportsBettingDime (@SBD) December 19, 2020
Shough has thrown for 300 yards twice and had games in which he has passed for four and three. Yet since having 331 yards against UCLA in the third game of the season, Shough’s yardage total have gone down in the three subsequent games.
In Oregon’s victory USC in the Pac-12 Championship Game, Shough’s impact was minimal. He completed just eight of 15 attempts for 91 yards, though he did have two TD passes.
A strong case can be made that Iowa State is the best team Shough will face in the pandemic-shortened season. Look for him to struggle against the Cyclones.
Pick: Tyler Shough under 230 yards passing (-110, 1 unit)