Justin Herbert Betting Favorite for 2020 NFL Offensive Rookie of Year

Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert has the inside track to win the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year after a sensational season. Herbert set new rookie records with 31 touchdown passes and 36 total touchdowns.

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LA Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert, seen here against the Carolina Panthers. Herbert became the sixth QB to win NFL Rookie of the Year since 2010.

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LA Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert, seen here against the Carolina Panthers. Herbert became the sixth QB to win NFL Rookie of the Year since 2010. (Image: Sean M. Haffey/Getty)

Herbert finished the season as the league’s sixth-best passer with 4,336 yards. He ranked #10 with 31 touchdowns, yet set the rookie record previously held by Baker Mayfield. Herbert completed 66.6% of his passes, but tossed 10 interceptions. He also rushed for five touchdowns.

Kyler Murray from the Arizona Cardinals won the 2019 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. Herbert could become the sixth QB to earn Rookie of the Year honors in the last decade.

Since Big Ben Roethlisberger won the 2004 Rookie of the Year, eight quarterbacks won the award as the league shifted toward giving younger QBs more responsibilities.

Prior to 2004, only one quarterback won Rookie of the Year with Dennis Shaw in 1970 with the Buffalo Bills. Historically speaking, head coaches did not throw rookie quarterbacks into the fire like running backs.

Justin Herbert: #6 Pick to Rookie of Year?

Herbert played in only 15 games this season. He began the season as the backup quarterback behind Tyrod Taylor. Herbert found out he was starting in Week 2 only minutes before the kickoff. Taylor had cracked ribs and took a painkiller injection during warmups. The team doctor punctured Taylor’s lung, which caused him too much pain to play. Head coach Anthony Lynn tapped Herbert on short notice and never looked back. Herbert remained the starter the rest of the season.

The Chargers drafted Herbert to replace Philip Rivers, who spent 14 years as the staring QB in San Diego and Los Angeles. Rivers signed a free agent deal with the Indianapolis Colts in the offseason. The Chargers hoped they could find the future franchise quarterback in Herbert, who exceeded initial projections.

Herbert played his collegiate ball at Oregon. He was one of the Top 3 quarterback projected in the 2019 NFL draft. He opted to return to school and play at Oregon for his senior season. His numbers were slightly off from his junior season, but scouts still thought he could thrive at the pro level.

The LA Chargers selected Herbert with the sixth overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft. Heisman winner Joe Burrow went #1 to the Cincinnati Bengals. The Miami Dolphins selected Tua Tagovailoa with the #5 pick and Herbert followed in sixth.

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Herbert or Justin Jefferson for ROY?

By Week 8, Joe Burrow and Herbert were co-favorites to win Rookie of the Year. Burrow injured his knee a couple weeks later and Herbert became the main favorite.

When Tua Tagovailoa finally earned the starting QB job in Miami by edging out Ryan Fitzpatrick, Tua’s odds saw a bump. However, Tua (1,814 yards, 11 touchdowns, 5 INTs) did not put up anything close to Herbert’s numbers (4,336 yards and 31 touchdowns). Miami bubbled the playoffs and many fans were wondering what could have been if they selected Herbert instead.

  • 2000 Mike Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos
  • 2001 Anthony Thomas, RB, Chicago Bears
  • 2002 Clinton Portis, RB, Denver Broncos
  • 2003 Anquan Boldin, WR, Arizona Cardinals
  • 2004 Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Pittsburgh Steelers
  • 2005 Cadillac Williams, RB, Tampa Bay Bucs
  • 2006 Vince Young, QB, Tennessee Titans
  • 2007 Adrian Peterson, RB, Minnesota Vikings
  • 2008 Matt Ryan, QB, Atlanta Falcons
  • 2009 Percy Harvin, WR, Minnesota Vikings
  • 2010 Sam Bradford, QB, St. Louis Rams
  • 2011 Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers
  • 2012 Robert Griffin III, QB, Washington Redskins
  • 2013 Eddie Lacy, RB, Green Bay Packers
  • 2014 Odell Beckham Jr., WR, NY Giants
  • 2015 Todd Gurley, RB, St. Louis Rams
  • 2016 Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys
  • 2017 Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints
  • 2018 Saquon Barkley, RB, NY Giants
  • 2019 Kyler Murray, QB, Arizona Cardinals
  • 2020 ??? TBA ????

Justin Jefferson, who replaced Stefon Diggs in Minnesota, also posted a magnificent season with 88 receptions for 1,400 yards and 7 touchdowns. Jefferson finished the season tied for fourth in receiving yards. He’s trying to become only the third wide receiver to win ROY honors since Percy Harvin’s breakout rookie season in 2009. Odell Beckham is the last wideout to win the prestigious award.

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